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Political Research Quarterly
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Retrospective Economic Accountability under Authoritarianism

Evidence from China

Gang Guo

University of Mississippi, University

The relationship between the turnover of government leaders and economic performance has rarely been studied in authoritarian regimes. In mainland China the reforms of the past quarter century have increased the economic accountability of local leaders. At the same time, there is some evidence that informal and idiosyncratic factors are more likely to operate at lower levels of government. An analysis of a comprehensive panel data set shows that Chinese county leaders are frequently replaced and that revenue growth increases the probability of promotion of county chief executives. Newly installed or minority nationality chief executives are less likely to be replaced.

Key Words: government turnover • economic performance • responsibility hypothesis • county leaders • China

Political Research Quarterly, Vol. 60, No. 3, 378-390 (2007)
DOI: 10.1177/1065912907304501


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